{"id":10848,"date":"2024-05-02T18:04:15","date_gmt":"2024-05-02T22:04:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zobi.alcowep.com\/bourtagshdrevxnls658739\/2024-total-solar-eclipse-prediction-vs-reality\/"},"modified":"2024-05-02T18:04:15","modified_gmt":"2024-05-02T22:04:15","slug":"2024-total-solar-eclipse-prediction-vs-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zobi.alcowep.com\/bourtagshdrevxnls658739\/2024-total-solar-eclipse-prediction-vs-reality\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Total Solar Eclipse: Prediction vs. Reality"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">2024 Total Solar Eclipse: Prediction vs. Reality<\/h2>\n<p><!-- no image --><\/p>\n<div class=\"padding-top-5 padding-bottom-3 width-full maxw-full hds-module hds-module-full wp-block-nasa-blocks-article-intro\">\n<div class=\"width-full maxw-full article-header\">\n<div class=\"margin-bottom-2 width-full maxw-full\">\n<p class=\"label carbon-60 margin-0 margin-bottom-3 padding-0\">2 min read<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"display-48 margin-bottom-2\">2024 Total Solar Eclipse: Prediction vs. Reality<\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\" hds-module hds-module-full wp-block-nasa-blocks-image-before-after\">\n<div>\n        Image Before\/After\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Before a <a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/solar-system\/skywatching\/april-8-total-solar-eclipse-through-the-eyes-of-nasa\/\" rel=\"noopener\">total solar eclipse crossed North America<\/a> on April 8, 2024, scientists at Predictive Science Inc. of San Diego <a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/solar-system\/skywatching\/scientists-use-nasa-data-to-predict-solar-corona-before-eclipse\/\" rel=\"noopener\">aimed to foresee<\/a> what the Sun\u2019s outer atmosphere, the corona, would look like during totality.<\/p>\n<p>The predictions help researchers understand the accuracy of their models of the Sun\u2019s corona, which extends along its magnetic field. A solar eclipse offers a rare opportunity to view the entire corona from Earth, guiding research into how its energy can cause solar flares and coronal mass ejections, which can disrupt technology on Earth and in space.<\/p>\n<p>The researchers used the Aitken, Electra, and Pleiades supercomputers at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nas.nasa.gov\/\" rel=\"noopener\">NASA Advanced Supercomputing facility<\/a>, located at the agency\u2019s Ames Research Center in California\u2019s Silicon Valley. With near-real-time data from NASA\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Solar Dynamics Observatory<\/a> and ESA\u2019s (the European Space Agency) and NASA\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.esa.int\/Science_Exploration\/Space_Science\/Solar_Orbiter\" rel=\"noopener\">Solar Orbiter<\/a>, they created a dynamic model of the corona. The team\u2019s model accurately predicted several details, including long streamers in the upper and lower left side of the image, but the streamers\u2019 locations are slightly misaligned when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predsci.com\/corona\/apr2024eclipse\/comparison.php\" rel=\"noopener\">compared with real images<\/a>. This is likely because some new activity on the far side of the Sun, which affected the appearance of the corona, wasn\u2019t yet seen and couldn\u2019t be incorporated in the model. Once it was, the model more closely matched observational photos of the corona.<\/p>\n<p>Recognizing that the corona is inherently complex and difficult to predict during solar maximum, Cooper Downs, a research scientist at Predictive Science, said, \u201cWe\u2019re really thrilled with this simulation. It really has a lot of scientific consequences that I think we\u2019ll be exploring for a long time.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>By <a href=\"mailto:rachel.lense@nasa.gov\">Rachel Lense<\/a>, NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md;<br \/>with <a href=\"mailto:tara.l.friesen@nasa.gov\">Tara Friesen<\/a>, NASA\u2019s Ames Research Center, Silicon Valley, Calif.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"nasa-gb-align-full width-full maxw-full padding-x-3 padding-y-0 article_a hds-module hds-module-full wp-block-nasa-blocks-credits-and-details\">\n<section class=\"padding-x-0 padding-top-5 padding-bottom-2 desktop:padding-top-7 desktop:padding-bottom-9\">\n<div class=\"grid-row grid-container maxw-widescreen padding-0\">\n<div class=\"grid-col-12 desktop:grid-col-2 padding-right-4 margin-bottom-5 desktop:margin-bottom-0\">\n<div class=\"padding-top-3 border-top-1px border-color-carbon-black\">\n<div class=\"margin-bottom-2\">\n<h2 class=\"heading-14\">Share<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div 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1.11-2.5 2.48-2.5s2.48 1.12 2.48 2.5zm.02 4.5h-5v16h5v-16zm7.982 0h-4.968v16h4.969v-8.399c0-4.67 6.029-5.052 6.029 0v8.399h4.988v-10.131c0-7.88-8.922-7.593-11.018-3.714v-2.155z\"><\/path><\/svg><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"social-icon social-icon-rss\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/feed\/\" aria-label=\"Subscribe to RSS feed.\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 800 800\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M493 652H392c0-134-111-244-244-244V307c189 0 345 156 345 345zm71 0c0-228-188-416-416-416V132c285 0 520 235 520 520z\"><\/path><circle cx=\"219\" cy=\"581\" r=\"71\"><\/circle><\/svg><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid-col-12 desktop:grid-col-5 padding-right-4 margin-bottom-5 desktop:margin-bottom-0\">\n<div class=\"padding-top-3 border-top-1px border-color-carbon-black\">\n<div class=\"margin-bottom-2\">\n<h2 class=\"heading-14\">Details<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid-row margin-bottom-3\">\n<div class=\"grid-col-4\">\n<div class=\"subheading\">Last Updated<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid-col-8\">May 02, 2024<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid-col-12 desktop:grid-col-5 padding-right-4 margin-bottom-5 desktop:margin-bottom-0\">\n<div class=\"padding-top-3 border-top-1px border-color-carbon-black \">\n<div class=\"margin-bottom-2\">\n<h2 class=\"heading-14\">Related Terms<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<ul class=\"article-tags\">\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/eclipses\/future-eclipses\/eclipse-2024\/\" rel=\"noopener\">2024 Solar Eclipse<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/ames\/\">Ames Research Center<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/eclipses\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Eclipses<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/goddard\/\">Goddard Space Flight Center<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/heliophysics\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Heliophysics<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/category\/get-involved\/modeling\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Modeling<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Science &#038; Research<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/skywatching\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Skywatching<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/mission\/sdo\" rel=\"noopener\">Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/category\/solar-system\/skywatching\/eclipses\/solar-eclipses\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Solar Eclipses<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/sun\/\" rel=\"noopener\">The Sun<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"article-tag\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/category\/science-research\/heliophysics\/the-sun-solar-physics\/\" rel=\"noopener\">The Sun &#038; Solar Physics<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wpematico_credit\"><small>Powered by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wpematico.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WPeMatico<\/a><\/small><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/image-article\/2024-total-solar-eclipse-prediction-vs-reality\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get The Details&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Before a total solar eclipse crossed North America on April 8, 2024, scientists at Predictive Science Inc. of San Diego aimed to foresee what the Sun\u2019s outer atmosphere, the corona, would look like during totality. The predictions help researchers understand the accuracy of their models of the Sun\u2019s corona, which extends along its magnetic field. 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